Conference Program & Schedule

Scientific Program Committee

Boyan Dimitrov (USA)                       
Daniela Szatmari-Voivcu (USA)       
Elart von Collani (Germany)             
Ernest Fokoue (USA)                         
Francesca Greselin (Italy)                 
Gergana Kodjebasheva (USA)          
Kishor S. Trivedi (USA)                     
Kristina Sendova (Canada)                
Krzysztof Podgorski (Sweden)          
Leda Minkova (Bulgaria)                   
Maxim Finkelstein (South Africa)    
Nikolai Kolev (Brazil)                         
Nozer Singpurwalla (USA)                
Ricardas Zitikis (Canada)                  
Sahib Esa (Iraq)                                  
Srinivas Chakravarthy (USA)           
V.S. Mandrekar (USA)                       
Vladimir Kaishev (UK)                       
Vladimir Rykov (Russia)                   
Yogen Chaubey (Canada)                  

Sessions and Organizers

  •   Elart von Collani  “Statistics as a general tool for all sciences.”
  •   Francesca Greselin “Measuring inequality at the time of the Great Divergence.”
  •   Ernest Fokoue Recent Applications of Statistical Data Mining for Big Data Predictive Analysis.”
  •   Vladimir Kaishev  “Probability and statistics in actuarial applications.”
  •   Galia Novikova “Data Mining for Software Development Quality Management.””
  •   Leda Minkova  “Stochastic Models and Statistical Applications.”
  •   Krzysztof Podgorski “Non-Gaussian stochastic models: theory and applications.”
  •   Kristina Sendova “Risk measures, probability measures and mortality.”

UPDATED (June 23, 2014) Conference Agenda Download: FISC 2014 Program

Conference Agenda Quick Preview:

Conference Agenda One City – 100 Years Under Variability – FISC 2014

Keynote Speakers/Tutorials
Invited Talks
Contributed Talks
Greenfield Village and Sloan Museum


Tuesday, June 24, 2014

8:00 am – 4:00 pm Registration
8:15 am – 8:30 am8 : 3 0 a m   –   9 : 3 0  a m Opening CeremonyRobert McMahan, (Kettering University President) (McKinnon Theatre – Chair: Leszek Gawarecki)


Keynote Address: Dayne Walling (Flint City Mayor): Using Statistics in Creating Master Plan for Flint

9:30am – 10:15am Keynote Address: Nozer Singpurwalla (The City Uiversit of Hong Kong, Hong Kong): The Indicative and Irrealis Moods of  Bayesians
10:15 am – 10:45am Coffee Break (Faculty Senate Room)
10:45 am – 11:15am

Room – 2-225 – Chair: Nozer Singpurwalla

Session “Reliability” Organized by Evans Gouno (Universite de Bretagne Sud, France),

Evans Gouno and Lise Guerrineau (France): Failure Rate Estimation in Dynamic Environments

11:15 am – 11:40am Laurent Bordes and Sophie Mercier (France): Extended Geometric Processes with Application to Reliability
11:40am – 12:05pm Yann Dijoux and Isha Dewan (France):  Modeling Repairable Systems with a Burn-in Period with Asymmetric Virtual Age
12:05pm – 12:30pm Ananda Sen and Anupap Somboonsavatder (U of M, USA, and Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand):  Parametric Analysis  of Repairable Systems under Competing Risks
12:30pm – 1:30pm Lunch Break (Sunrise Room)
1:30pm – 2:15pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: Leszek Gawarecki

Corey Ames (Statistical Crime Analyst,Michigan, USA): Data Driven Approaches to Crime

2:15pm – 2:45pm Peter Chami, Tara Innis, Berng Sing (Bridgetown, Barbados): Life in Bridgetown, Barbados, according to the Westbury Cemetery Records 1877-1976
2:45pm – 3:15pm Theresa Atkinson and Anand Guldur (Kettering University, USA): Crash Lab Data and Hypotheses Testing
3:15pm – 3:45pm

Coffee Break (Faculty Senate Room)

3:45pm – 4:15pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: Leda Minkova

Session “Inequality Measures”, Organized by Francesca Greseslin (Milano-Bicocca University,  Milan, Italy)

Francesca Greselin (Milan, Italy): Measuring Inequality at the Time of the Great Divergence

4:15pm – 4:40pm Francesco Porro (Milan, Italy): The Statistical Tools for Understanding the Dynamic of Inequality in Flint
4:40pm – 5:05pm Alberto Arcagni (Milan, Italy):   Income Distribution at Flint: A Comparison of the Inequality with Other American Cities
5:05pm – 5:30pm Alexandru V. Asimit ( City University London, UK):  Characterizing Asymptotic Dependence via Conditional Kendall’s Tau
7:15 pm – 9:30 pmConference Cocktail Party Restaurant “Brick Street Bar & Grille”, ( 1223 E Grand Blanc Road- Grand Blanc, MI 48439,  Room Garden and Patio): Appetizers (CHEESE, FRUIT AND CRACKER DISPLAY), soft drinks, Two servings of alcoholic drink (beer, vine or hard). If someone stays for dinner, should order dinner separately with out of pocket payment.  Extra drinks on your own.

Wednesday, June 25, 2014

8:00 am – 4:00 pm Registration
8:30 am – 9:30 am Exhibits Open

Room – 2-225 – Chair: B. Dimitrov

Keynote Talk:  Ernest Fokoue (Rochester Institute of Technology, USA), Harnessing the Power of Statistical Methods in an era of Big Data Predictive Analytics

9:30 am – 10:15 am

Room – 2-225 – Chair: B. Dimitrov

9:30am – 10:15 am Open Forum: Big Data Predictive Analytics
10:15 am – 10:45 am

Coffee Break (Faculty Senate Room)

10:45 am – 12:30 pm

Room – 2-225 – Session “Recent Applications of Statistical Data Mining for Big Data Predictive Analysis”, organized by E. Fokoue, Rochester Institute of Technology (RIT), New York

Chair E. Fokoue (RIT, New York)

10:45 am – 11:10 am Jo Bill (RIT, USA):  A Comparative Analysis of Predictive Learning Algorithms on High-Dimensional Microarray Cancer Data
11:10 am – 11:35 am Zichen Ma (RIT, USA):  Statistical Methods for Signal Processing with Applications to Accent Recognition
11:35 am – 12:05 pm Xingchen Yu (RIT, USA):   Probit-Normal Topic Models
12:05 pm – 12:30 pm Sahla Qahl (RIT, USA):  Feature Extraction and Machine Learning Techniques for Knowledge Discovery in Sacred Texts
12:30 pm – 1:30 pm

Lunch Break (Sunrise Room)

1:30 pm – 2:15 pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: Srinivas Chakravarthy

Keynote Talk: Maxim Finkelstein (University of the Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa):  Virtual Age and Optimal Maintenance

2:15 pm – 2:45 pm Gheorghe Mishkoy ( Chisinau, Moldova): Generalized Priority Systems, Analytical Results and Numerical Algorithms
2:45 pm – 3:15 pm Velika Dragieva (Sofia, Bulgaria): On the Busy Period in One Finite Queue of M/G/1 Type with Losses
3:15 pm – 3:45 pm

Coffee Break (Faculty Senate Room)

3:45 pm – 5:55 pm Room – 2-225 – Chair:  Gheorghe MishkoySession “Non-Gaussian Stochastic Models: Theory and Applications”, organized by Krzysztof Podgorski, Lund University, Sweden
3:45 pm – 4:15 pm Krys Podgorski (Lund, Sweden): Random Processes and Fields Driven by Second Order Levy Motions
4:15 pm – 4:40 pm Anastassia Baxevani (Cyprus): Sample Path Asymmetries in Random Processes Driven by a Second-Order Levy Motion
4:40 pm – 5:05 pm Tomasz J. Kozubowski (Nevada, USA): Discrete Pareto Distributions
5:05 pm – 5:30 pm Anna K. Panorska (Nevada, USA):  A Discrete Generalization of Truncated Pareto with Application to the Global Distribution of Diet Breadth in Insect Herbivores
5:30 pm – 5:55 pm Galia Novakova (Sofia University, Bulgaria): Data Mining for Software Development Quality Management

Thursday, June 26, 2014

Greenfield Village and Sloan Museum
8:30 am

Bus departures from the conference location

Lunch at Greenfield Village – On your own
5:00 pm                  

Bus returns from Greenfield Village directly to Sloan Museum

5:30 pm – 8:30 pm Gala Dinner at Sloan Museum (1221 E Kearsley St, Flint, MI 48503)
9:00 pm

Bus returns participants at the conference location

Friday, June 27, 2014

8:00 am – 4:00 pm Registration
8:30 am – 10:15 pm Exhibits Open

Room – 2-225 – Chair: Kristina Sendova (UWO, Ontario, Canada)

 Session  organized by Leda Minkova (Sofia University, Bulgaria)


Keynote Talk: Leda Minkova and Stefanka Chukova (Bulgaria and New Zeland): Polya-Aeppli of Order k Risk Model

8:30 am – 9:15 am
9:15 am – 9:45 am Nedialko Dimitrov, Stanko Dimitrov and  Stefanka Chukova (Waterloo-Canada, Austin-USA and Wellington-NZ): Robust Decomposable Markov Decision Processes Motivated by allocating School Budgets
9:45 am – 10:15 am  Galia Novakova (Sofia University, Bulgaria), Forecasting Stock Market Trends
10:15 am – 10:45 amFaculty Senate room andthe lobby in front of

McKinnon Theatre

Coffee Break

and   - Flint Artist’s exhibition and Last opportunity for American souvenirs: sales  (from 10:00 am to 4:00 pm) in the lobby.

10:45 am – 12:30 pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair V. Kaishev (City University London, UK)

 Session  organized by Kristina Sendova (UWO, Ontario, Canada)

10:45 am – 11:15 am Zhong Li, Kristina Sendova, and Chen Yang (UWO, Ontario, Canada):  Dual Surplus Models: Current Results and Future Potential
11:15 am – 11:40 am Hristo Sendov and Shen Shan (UWO, Ontario, Canada): New Representation Theorems for Completely Monotone and Bernstein Functions with Convexity Properties on their Measures
11:40am – 12:05 pm Yuefeng Ji and Xiaoming Liu (UWO, Ontario, Canada): Longevity-indexed Life Annuity: Managing longevity Risk via Product design
12:05 pm – 12:30 pm Yi Ding and Xiaoming Liu (UWO, Ontario, Canada): Markovian Aging Model for Multi-cohorts
12:30 pm – 1:30 pm Lunch Break
1:30 pm – 2:25 pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: L. Gawarecki

Keynote Talk: Vidyadhar Mandrekar (MSU, Lansing, USA): Teaching Statistics to Engineers using Experiential Data

2:30 pm – 2:55 pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: L. Gawarecki


Pranesh Kumar, Faramarz Kashanchi (University of British Columbia, Canada):  On the Lp-norm Regression Models for Estimating Value-at-Risk

2:55 pm – 3:15 pm POSTER SESSION (Students from Kettering for the City of Flint historical data studies, and Applications in Engineering process improvement
3:15 pm – 3:45 pmFaculty Senate room andthe lobby in front ofMcKinnon Theatre

Coffee Break

and   - Flint Artist’s exhibition and Last opportunity for American souvenirs: sales in the lobby.

3:45 pm – 5:30 pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: V. Mandrekar

Special Session “Spatial Statistics”, organized by Hao Zhang (Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana, USA)


Keynote Talk: Piyas Chakraborty and Hao Zhang (West Lafayette, USA):  Modeling the Frequency and Magnitude of Extreme Events

3:45 pm – 4:25 pm
4:25 pm – 4:55 pm Juan Hu and Hao Zhang (West Lafayette, USA):  Optimal Low Rank Model for Massive Spatial Data
4:55 pm – 5:25 pm Tonglin Zhang (West Lafayette, USA):  Testing Independence between Marks and Points of Marked Point Process





Saturday, June 28, 2014

8:30 am – 9:30 am 


9:30 am – 10:15

Exhibits Open – Faculty Senate Room

Room – 2-225 – Chair: Tzvetan Ignatov (Sofia University, Bulgaria)


Tutorial: Boyan Dimitrov (Kettering University, USA): Dependence between Random Events and Its Use


Vladimir Kaishev (City University, UK): Geometrically Designed Variable Knots Regression Splines with Applications in Actuarial modeling

10:15 am – 10:45 am

Coffee Break (Faculty Senate Room)

10:45 am – 12:25 pm

Room – 2-225 – Chair: B. Dimitrov (Kettering University)

 Session “Risk Analysis and Modeling”, organized by Vladimir Kaishev (City University, London, UK)

10:45 am – 11:10 am Zvetan G. Ignatov (Sofia University, Bulgaria): Time to Ruin and Deficit at Ruin in a Dependent Risk Model with Claims Arrivals following a Point Process with Independent Increments 
11:10 am – 11:35 am Pietro Millossovich (City University, UK):  Sensitivity Analysis of Internal Risk Models
11:35 am – 12:00 pm Maria Dolores Martinez (City University, UK):   In-sample Forecasting with Applications to Non-life Insurance and Mesothelioma Mortality
12:00 pm – 12:45 pm Closing Session Keynote speaker Elart von Collani (Wuerzburg, Germany):   Stochastics, Statistics and the American Statistical Association
12:45 pm – 1:45 pm Lunch Break
1:45 pm – 5:25 pm

Conference adjourned